Match details. Division 2. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Vanersborgs IF have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling score 0.7 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling average 2.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Vanersborgs IF score 0.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vanersborgs IF average 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The case against. Vanersborgs IF's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling to win. IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: IF Karlstad Fotbollutveckling 1-0 Vanersborgs IF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).