Match details. 1. CFL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Topolica, Bar.
What's at stake. FK Mornar Bar are 6th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sutjeska, 3 points clear of Mladost DG. A win would take them above Sutjeska. FK Jezero Plav are 8th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Mladost DG, 1 point clear of Petrovac. A win would take them above Mladost DG.
Form. FK Mornar Bar have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. FK Jezero Plav have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L.
The numbers. FK Mornar Bar score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Mornar Bar average 11.9 shots (5.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FK Jezero Plav score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Jezero Plav average 10.2 shots (4.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Mornar Bar have won six, drawn two and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Mornar Bar won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished FK Mornar Bar 0-0 FK Jezero Plav.
The case against. FK Jezero Plav's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. FK Mornar Bar to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Mornar Bar the likelier winners; FK Mornar Bar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Mornar Bar; the meetings favour FK Mornar Bar. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FK Mornar Bar or Draw at 1.12, 74% on the records (FK Mornar Bar unbeaten in 7 of 9; FK Jezero Plav failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: FK Mornar Bar Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Mornar Bar or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Mornar Bar or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Mornar Bar 1-0 FK Jezero Plav (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).