FC Jarfalla vs Umea FC
Match details. Ettan, Norra - 26. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jarfallavallen.
What's at stake. FC Jarfalla are 15th on 19 points after 25 games, 3 points behind Piteå, 4 points clear of Stocksund. A win would take them level on points with Piteå. Umea FC are 10th on 32 points after 25 games, level on points with Assyriska FF, 2 points clear of Gefle IF. A win would take them above Assyriska FF. FC Jarfalla have nothing left to play for. Umea FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Jarfalla have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition FC Jarfalla have gone D L L W L L. Umea FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Umea FC have gone W L W W L W.
The numbers. FC Jarfalla score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Jarfalla average 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Umea FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Umea FC average 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 28 Jun 2026, it finished FC Jarfalla 3-1 Umea FC.
The case against. FC Jarfalla's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Umea FC to win. An open game. Umea FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Umea FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (FC Jarfalla: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Umea FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Umea FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Jarfalla Under 1.5 goals (Umea FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: FC Jarfalla 1-2 Umea FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).