Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Bor 1919 are 16th on 8 points after 12 games, level on points with Jedinstvo Ub. A win would take them above Jedinstvo Ub. Backa Topola are 2nd on 24 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Borac Cacak, level on points with Semendrija 1924.
Form. FK Bor 1919 have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition FK Bor 1919 have gone L L L L L W. Backa Topola have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition Backa Topola have gone W D D D W W.
The numbers. FK Bor 1919 score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. FK Bor 1919 average 3.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Backa Topola score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Backa Topola average 6.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. Backa Topola to win. An open game. Backa Topola are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Backa Topola. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Backa Topola at 1.18, 71% on the records (Backa Topola unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; FK Bor 1919 failed to win 8 of 10). Leave: Backa Topola or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Bor 1919 1-2 Backa Topola (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).