AOASO

16:30Sat 10 Oct

USP

AS Ostiamare vs US Pianese

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio. The referee is V. Teghille.

What's at stake. AS Ostiamare are 13th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Atalanta II, level on points with Vado. A win would take them above Atalanta II. US Pianese are 18th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Latina, 1 point clear of Sambenedettese. A win would take them above Latina.

Form. AS Ostiamare have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. In this competition AS Ostiamare have gone D D W L L W. US Pianese have won one, drawn three and lost four of their last eight, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. In this competition US Pianese have gone W L D L D L.

The numbers. AS Ostiamare score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AS Ostiamare average 11.8 shots (4.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. US Pianese score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. US Pianese average 11.3 shots (4.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings AS Ostiamare have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2023, it finished AS Ostiamare 3-0 US Pianese.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Ostiamare or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AS Ostiamare or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Ostiamare 1-1 US Pianese (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASO 8 of 8 (100%) · USP 8 of 8 (100%)95.6%

AS Ostiamare: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pianese: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AS Ostiamare: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at AS Ostiamare's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

ASO 7 of 8 (88%) · USP 7 of 8 (88%)88.8%

AS Ostiamare: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pianese: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AS Ostiamare: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at AS Ostiamare's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.30

ASO 7 of 8 (88%) · USP 7 of 8 (88%)75.3%

AS Ostiamare: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pianese: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AS Ostiamare: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at AS Ostiamare's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.80

ASO 5 of 8 (62%) · USP 5 of 8 (62%)53.8%

AS Ostiamare: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pianese: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · AS Ostiamare: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at AS Ostiamare's level

AS OSTIAMARE GOALS

AS Ostiamare Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.25

ASO 6 of 8 (75%) · USP 6 of 8 (75%)75.1%

AS Ostiamare scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pianese conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AS Ostiamare: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at AS Ostiamare's level

Left off the list: AS Ostiamare or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AS Ostiamare or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

AS Ostiamare goals →

US Pianese goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

AS OSTIAMARELLWLLWDD1.00 PPG

US PIANESELDLDLDLW0.75 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AS OSTIAMARE HOMExUS PIANESE AWAY

1.12SCORED A GAME0.751.25CONCEDED A GAME1.2512%CLEAN SHEETS25%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.70CORNERS A GAME5.301.60CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME0.86-0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.11.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

AS OSTIAMARE OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

US PIANESE OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AS OSTIAMARExUS PIANESE

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

AS OSTIAMARE 1 · 50%DRAW 0US PIANESE 1 · 50%

2022-12-11AS Ostiamare 0 – 1 US Pianese

2023-04-23AS Ostiamare 3 – 0 US Pianese

TRENDS

AS Ostiamare have scored in 80% of their games.

US Pianese have scored in 60% of their games.

AS Ostiamare failed to score in 25% of their games.

US Pianese failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards