Match details. 2. Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mestsky stadion Bytca.
What's at stake. MFk Bytca are 15th on 6 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Humenné, 3 points clear of Lokomotíva Zvolen. A win would take them above Humenné. FK Humenne are 14th on 8 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Malženice, 2 points clear of MFK Bytča. A win would take them level on points with Malženice.
Form. MFk Bytca have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition MFk Bytca have gone L L W L L L. FK Humenne have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition FK Humenne have gone L D D L L L.
The numbers. MFk Bytca score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. MFk Bytca average 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FK Humenne score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Humenne average 4.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FK Humenne are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour MFk Bytca. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The case against. MFk Bytca's record still gives them 53% to win.
The read. FK Humenne or the draw. FK Humenne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MFk Bytca.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Humenne Over 0.5 Goals (FK Humenne's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: MFk Bytca 1-1 FK Humenne (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).