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ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP C
FC Crotone crestFCFCC
13:30Sat 10 Oct
AUDAudace Cerignola crestAC

FC Crotone vs Audace Cerignola

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone. The referee is G. Renzi.

What's at stake. FC Crotone are 20th on 0 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Cosenza. A win would take them above Cosenza. Audace Cerignola are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Casertana, level on points with Foggia. A win would take them above Casertana.

Form. FC Crotone have won one, drawn three and lost four of their last eight, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition FC Crotone have gone L W D L D D. Audace Cerignola have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Audace Cerignola have gone D L D L W W.

The numbers. FC Crotone score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Crotone average 11.4 shots (3.6 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Audace Cerignola score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Audace Cerignola average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Crotone have won three, drawn three and lost three. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Crotone won two, one was drawn and Audace Cerignola won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished FC Crotone 1-1 Audace Cerignola.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Audace Cerignola or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Audace Cerignola or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Crotone 1-1 Audace Cerignola (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCC 8 of 8 (100%) · AUD 8 of 8 (100%)96.1%
FC Crotone: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Audace Cerignola: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Crotone: only games against sides at Audace Cerignola's level · Audace Cerignola: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
FCC 8 of 8 (100%) · AUD 8 of 8 (100%)90.1%
FC Crotone: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Audace Cerignola: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Crotone: only games against sides at Audace Cerignola's level · Audace Cerignola: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level
FC CROTONE GOALS
FC Crotone Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
FCC 5 of 8 (62%) · AUD 6 of 8 (75%)56.9%
FC Crotone scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Audace Cerignola conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Crotone: only games against sides at Audace Cerignola's level · Audace Cerignola: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level
AUDACE CERIGNOLA GOALS
Audace Cerignola Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
FCC 5 of 8 (62%) · AUD 8 of 8 (100%)64.4%
Audace Cerignola scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Crotone conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Audace Cerignola: only games against sides at FC Crotone's level · FC Crotone: only games against sides at Audace Cerignola's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Audace Cerignola or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Audace Cerignola or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Draw or Audace Cerignola (no result call); Audace Cerignola or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Audace Cerignola win or both teams score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
FC Crotone goals →
Audace Cerignola goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8
FC CROTONELLDDLDWL0.75 PPG
AUDACE CERIGNOLAWLWWLDLD1.38 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC CROTONE HOMExAUDACE CERIGNOLA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.381.50CONCEDED A GAME0.880%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%3.10CORNERS A GAME5.901.80CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.86POINTS A GAME1.38-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES8
Audace Cerignola: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC CROTONE OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
AUDACE CERIGNOLA OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC CROTONExAUDACE CERIGNOLA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME0.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
FC CROTONE 3 · 33%DRAW 3AUDACE CERIGNOLA 3 · 33%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-12-04FC Crotone 1 – 0 Audace Cerignola
2023-04-08FC Crotone 0 – 1 Audace Cerignola
2023-09-21FC Crotone 1 – 1 Audace Cerignola
2024-01-27FC Crotone 2 – 4 Audace Cerignola
2024-11-03FC Crotone 1 – 1 Audace Cerignola
2025-03-16FC Crotone 2 – 1 Audace Cerignola
2025-11-21FC Crotone 0 – 2 Audace Cerignola
2026-03-29FC Crotone 3 – 1 Audace Cerignola
TRENDS
FC Crotone have scored in 60% of their games.
Audace Cerignola have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Crotone failed to score in 38% of their games.
Audace Cerignola failed to score in 38% of their games.
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