CFCAS

13:30Sat 10 Oct

SSM

Casertana FC vs SS Monopoli

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta. The referee is D. Gandino.

What's at stake. Casertana FC are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with AZ Picerno, 1 point clear of Audace Cerignola. A win would take them above AZ Picerno. SS Monopoli are 6th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Salernitana, level on points with AZ Picerno. A win would take them above Salernitana.

Form. Casertana FC have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition Casertana FC have gone L L D W W D. SS Monopoli have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. In this competition SS Monopoli have gone D W D D W L.

The numbers. Casertana FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Casertana FC average 10.3 shots (3.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. SS Monopoli average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Casertana FC have won six, drawn three and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Casertana FC won one, two were drawn and SS Monopoli won one. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Casertana FC 2-1 SS Monopoli.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Casertana FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); SS Monopoli or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Casertana FC 1-1 SS Monopoli (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAS 7 of 8 (88%) · SSM 8 of 8 (100%)96.9%

Casertana FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SS Monopoli: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Casertana FC: only games against sides at SS Monopoli's level · SS Monopoli: only games against sides at Casertana FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

CAS 5 of 8 (62%) · SSM 7 of 8 (88%)80.7%

Casertana FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SS Monopoli: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Casertana FC: only games against sides at SS Monopoli's level · SS Monopoli: only games against sides at Casertana FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

CAS 3 of 8 (38%) · SSM 7 of 8 (88%)56.1%

Casertana FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SS Monopoli: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 4 of 6 · Casertana FC: only games against sides at SS Monopoli's level · SS Monopoli: only games against sides at Casertana FC's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

CAS 6 of 8 (75%) · SSM 7 of 8 (88%)85.9%

Casertana FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SS Monopoli: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Casertana FC: only games against sides at SS Monopoli's level · SS Monopoli: only games against sides at Casertana FC's level

Left off the list: Casertana FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); SS Monopoli or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.8%

Casertana FC goals →

SS Monopoli goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

CASERTANA FCDWDWWDLL1.50 PPG

SS MONOPOLILWLWDDWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CASERTANA FC HOMExSS MONOPOLI AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.751.50CONCEDED A GAME0.5025%CLEAN SHEETS62%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%4.70CORNERS A GAME4.802.10CARDS A GAME1.30

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.50-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES8

SS Monopoli: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CASERTANA FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

SS MONOPOLI OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CASERTANA FCxSS MONOPOLI

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CASERTANA FC 6 · 60%DRAW 3SS MONOPOLI 1 · 10%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-10-23Casertana FC 2 – 1 SS Monopoli

2020-03-08Casertana FC 1 – 0 SS Monopoli

2020-12-07Casertana FC 2 – 1 SS Monopoli

2021-04-15Casertana FC 1 – 0 SS Monopoli

2023-09-27Casertana FC 1 – 1 SS Monopoli

2024-01-06Casertana FC 2 – 1 SS Monopoli

2024-11-09Casertana FC 0 – 0 SS Monopoli

2025-03-23Casertana FC 0 – 1 SS Monopoli

TRENDS

Casertana FC have scored in 80% of their games.

SS Monopoli have scored in 60% of their games.

Casertana FC failed to score in 25% of their games.

SS Monopoli failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards