CMCDM

20:00Sat 10 Oct

ZAM

CD Mirandes vs Zamora CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro.

What's at stake. CD Mirandes are 6th on 10 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Ponferradina, level on points with Zamora. A win would take them above Ponferradina. Zamora CF are 7th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Mirandes, level on points with Racing Ferrol. A win would take them above Mirandes.

Form. CD Mirandes have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Zamora CF have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. CD Mirandes score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Mirandes average 11.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Zamora CF score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Zamora CF average 11.8 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Mirandes the likelier winners, but Zamora CF are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Mirandes 1-1 Zamora CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 6 (83%) · ZAM 6 of 6 (100%)95.4%

CD Mirandes: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora CF: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level · Zamora CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 6 (83%) · ZAM 6 of 6 (100%)88.4%

CD Mirandes: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora CF: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level · Zamora CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 5 of 6 (83%) · ZAM 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

CD Mirandes's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level · Zamora CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

CD Mirandes goals →

Zamora CF goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD MIRANDESLDWLLWWDWL1.40 PPG

ZAMORA CFLWWLDLWLWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD MIRANDES HOMExZAMORA CF AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.101.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.80CORNERS A GAME3.332.40CARDS A GAME2.44

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.67+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.62.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.86LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD MIRANDES OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

ZAMORA CF OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD MIRANDESxZAMORA CF

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Mirandes have scored in 60% of their games.

Zamora CF have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Mirandes kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Zamora CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards