Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Isla, Coria.
What's at stake. CD Coria are 18th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Real Avilés, 3 points clear of UD Ourense. A win would take them above Real Avilés. CD Extremadura are 13th on 6 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Cultural Leonesa, level on points with Mérida AD. A win would take them above Cultural Leonesa.
Form. CD Coria have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. CD Extremadura have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. CD Coria score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Coria average 8.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game. CD Extremadura score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Extremadura average 10.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Coria 1-1 CD Extremadura (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).