UOUDO

17:45Sat 10 Oct

BAR

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de O Couto.

What's at stake. UD Ourense are 19th on 2 points after 6 games, 3 points behind CD Coria, level on points with Arenas Getxo. A win would take them level on points with CD Coria. Barakaldo CF are 16th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Unionistas de Salamanca, 1 point clear of Real Avilés. A win would take them above Unionistas de Salamanca.

Form. UD Ourense have won none, drawn two and lost four of their last six, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. Barakaldo CF have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.

The numbers. UD Ourense score 0.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. UD Ourense average 6.4 shots (1.5 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Barakaldo CF score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Barakaldo CF average 10.2 shots (4.1 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Barakaldo CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Barakaldo CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Barakaldo CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Ourense 1-1 Barakaldo CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Draw or Barakaldo CFLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

UDO 4 of 6 (67%) · BAR 6 of 6 (100%)59.5%

Barakaldo CF unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense failed to win 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDO 6 of 6 (100%) · BAR 5 of 6 (83%)95.5%

UD Ourense: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Barakaldo CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDO 6 of 6 (100%) · BAR 4 of 6 (67%)88.6%

UD Ourense: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Barakaldo CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level

BARAKALDO CF GOALS

Barakaldo CF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDO 4 of 6 (67%) · BAR 5 of 6 (83%)69.1%

Barakaldo CF scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDO 6 of 6 (100%) · BAR 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

UD Ourense: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Barakaldo CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · on half-time scores · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.14

UDO 6 of 6 (100%) · BAR 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDO 5 of 6 (83%) · BAR 4 of 6 (67%)75%

UD Ourense: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Barakaldo CF: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level

Left off the list: Barakaldo CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Barakaldo CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Barakaldo CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

UD Ourense goals →

Barakaldo CF goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 6

UD OURENSELLLLDD0.33 PPG

BARAKALDO CFDLWLDD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UD OURENSE HOMExBARAKALDO CF AWAY

0.33SCORED A GAME1.001.67CONCEDED A GAME1.5017%CLEAN SHEETS33%67%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.38CORNERS A GAME5.302.38CARDS A GAME2.30

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.33POINTS A GAME1.00-1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-7.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.80.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES6

Barakaldo CF: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

BARAKALDO CF 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

31%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

UD OURENSE OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

BARAKALDO CF OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UD OURENSExBARAKALDO CF

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

UD Ourense have scored in 50% of their games.

Barakaldo CF have scored in 70% of their games.

UD Ourense failed to score in 67% of their games.

Barakaldo CF failed to score in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards