Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Rubial.
What's at stake. Aguilas FC are 16th on 5 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Algeciras, 1 point clear of Rayo Majadahonda. A win would take them above Algeciras. SD Huesca are 11th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Real Madrid II, 1 point clear of Atlético Madrid II. A win would take them above Real Madrid II.
Form. Aguilas FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. SD Huesca have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. Aguilas FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aguilas FC average 11.6 shots (3.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.9 cards a game. SD Huesca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. SD Huesca average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2023, it finished Aguilas FC 0-1 SD Huesca.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Aguilas FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6; SD Huesca: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Leave: SD Huesca or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aguilas FC 1-1 SD Huesca (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).