Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 7. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza.
What's at stake. UD Ibiza are 9th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Antequera, level on points with Huesca. A win would take them above Antequera. Real Madrid Castilla are 12th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Atlético Madrid II, level on points with Sant Andreu. A win would take them above Atlético Madrid II.
Form. UD Ibiza have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. Real Madrid Castilla have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. UD Ibiza score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Ibiza average 7.9 shots (3.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Real Madrid Castilla score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Real Madrid Castilla average 12.6 shots (3.8 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings UD Ibiza have won two, drawn three and lost none. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, UD Ibiza won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2025, it finished UD Ibiza 0-0 Real Madrid Castilla.
The case against. Real Madrid Castilla's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. UD Ibiza to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Ibiza the likelier winners; UD Ibiza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Ibiza. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: UD Ibiza or Draw at 1.30, 73% on the records (UD Ibiza unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Real Madrid Castilla failed to win 6 of 8). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); UD Ibiza or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Ibiza 1-0 Real Madrid Castilla (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Ibiza or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)74.4%
UD Ibiza: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
Double Chance: UD Ibiza or DrawMAININ CODES
1.32
UDI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)72.8%
UD Ibiza unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
UD Ibiza or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 4 of 7 (57%)67.6%
UD Ibiza scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
UD Ibiza 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 4 of 7 (57%)58.1%
UD Ibiza scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla trailed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
UD Ibiza or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)53.8%
UD Ibiza: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 2 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)95.4%
UD Ibiza: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)88.3%
UD Ibiza: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
UDI 2 of 5 (40%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)51.7%
UD Ibiza: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 2 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
UD IBIZA GOALS
UD Ibiza Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)77.1%
UD Ibiza scored in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 5 · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
REAL MADRID CASTILLA GOALS
Real Madrid Castilla Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)66.2%
Real Madrid Castilla scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ibiza conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 5 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 5 of 7 (71%) · REA 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
UD Ibiza's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla's games: over 5.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDI 4 of 7 (57%) · REA 6 of 7 (86%)71.4%
UD Ibiza's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · UD Ibiza: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at UD Ibiza's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); UD Ibiza or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); UD Ibiza or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.7%
UD Ibiza goals →
Real Madrid Castilla goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
UD IBIZAWLWLLWWLLW1.50 PPG
REAL MADRID CASTILLADDWLDWLDLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD IBIZA HOMExREAL MADRID CASTILLA AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.00CORNERS A GAME7.443.14CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.33+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.61.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
UD IBIZA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
REAL MADRID CASTILLA OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UD IBIZAxREAL MADRID CASTILLA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
UD IBIZA 2 · 40%DRAW 3REAL MADRID CASTILLA 0 · 0%
2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-11-10UD Ibiza 2 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla
2024-01-13UD Ibiza 1 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla
2024-05-05UD Ibiza 0 – 0 Real Madrid Castilla
2024-08-31UD Ibiza 1 – 0 Real Madrid Castilla
2025-04-06UD Ibiza 0 – 0 Real Madrid Castilla
TRENDS
UD Ibiza have scored in 90% of their games.
Real Madrid Castilla have scored in 70% of their games.
UD Ibiza kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Real Madrid Castilla kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards