Match details. Emperor Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kawasaki Frontale have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Kawasaki Frontale score three and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Kawasaki Frontale average 14.2 shots (5.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 9.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Kawasaki Frontale are not clearly stronger.
The read. Kawasaki Frontale or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kawasaki Frontale the likelier winners; Kawasaki Frontale are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kawasaki Frontale. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Kawasaki Frontale are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Kawasaki Frontale are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Kawasaki Frontale scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Kawasaki Frontale or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%
Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · the call is Kawasaki Frontale or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Kawasaki Frontale are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Kawasaki Frontale or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.10
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 3 of 5 (60%)84%
Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · the call is Kawasaki Frontale or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Kawasaki Frontale are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Kawasaki Frontale or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.21
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 3 of 5 (60%)79.6%
Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · the call is Kawasaki Frontale or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Kawasaki Frontale are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.35
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 3 of 5 (60%)76.6%
Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
Kawasaki Frontale 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Kawasaki Frontale scored first 3 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki trailed in 2 of 5 away · the call is Kawasaki Frontale or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Kawasaki Frontale are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 4 of 5 (80%)88.4%
Kawasaki Frontale: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 2 of 5 (40%)69.4%
Kawasaki Frontale: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
KAWASAKI FRONTALE GOALS
Kawasaki Frontale Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 3 of 5 (60%)84%
Kawasaki Frontale scored in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI GOALS
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.43
KAW 3 of 5 (60%) · TEG 5 of 5 (100%)81%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 3 of 5 away · Kawasaki Frontale conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
KAW 5 of 5 (100%) · TEG 3 of 5 (60%)75%
Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (95%) and the records (73%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Kawasaki Frontale are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Kawasaki Frontale are a clear winner - no Unders); Kawasaki Frontale Over 1.5 Goals (Tegevajaro Miyazaki's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.2%
Kawasaki Frontale goals →
Tegevajaro Miyazaki goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-14%
1-110%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-27%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.4%
5-40.2%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
KAWASAKI FRONTALEWDWWLWWDDD1.90 PPG
TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKIDWWWLLLDDD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KAWASAKI FRONTALE HOMExTEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.00CORNERS A GAME9.001.40CARDS A GAME0.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
KAWASAKI FRONTALE OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.71POINTS A GAME1.33+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
KAWASAKI FRONTALE OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KAWASAKI FRONTALExTEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI
5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME2.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.404.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Kawasaki Frontale have scored in 100% of their games.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in 70% of their games.
Kawasaki Frontale kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards