Nykoebing FC vs Vsk Aarhus
Match details. 2nd Division, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Nykoebing FC are 1st on 22 points after 10 games, 1 point clear of Roskilde. Vsk Aarhus are 3rd on 18 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Roskilde, level on points with B 93. A win would take them level on points with Roskilde.
Form. Nykoebing FC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Nykoebing FC have gone D D W W W D. Vsk Aarhus have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. In this competition Vsk Aarhus have gone L W D D L D.
The numbers. Nykoebing FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Nykoebing FC average 0.1 cards a game. Vsk Aarhus score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vsk Aarhus average 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: Nykoebing FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Nykoebing FC the likelier winners; Nykoebing FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Nykoebing FC 2-1 Vsk Aarhus (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).