ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP A
16:30Sat 10 Oct
ASC
AC
Novara FC vs AS Cittadella
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara. The referee is C. Aldi.
What's at stake. Novara FC are 11th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Desenzano Calvina, level on points with PRO Vercelli. A win would take them above Desenzano Calvina. AS Cittadella are 1st on 21 points after 8 games, 2 points clear of Union Brescia.
Form. Novara FC have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition Novara FC have gone W L D D L W. AS Cittadella have won seven, drawn none and lost one of their last eight, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition AS Cittadella have gone L W W W W W.
The numbers. Novara FC score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Novara FC average 10.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. AS Cittadella score 1.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets. AS Cittadella average 12.5 shots (5.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Novara FC have won two, drawn two and lost three. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Novara FC won one, one was drawn and AS Cittadella won two. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Novara FC 0-1 AS Cittadella.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Novara FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. AS Cittadella to win. AS Cittadella are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Cittadella; the meetings favour AS Cittadella.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Novara FC Under 1.5 goals (Novara FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Novara FC 0-1 AS Cittadella (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AS Cittadella or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)86%
AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
AS Cittadella win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.25
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)86%
AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
Double Chance: Draw or AS CittadellaIN CODES
1.34
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 6 of 8 (75%)73.8%
AS Cittadella unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
AS Cittadella or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 4 of 8 (50%)72.2%
AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
AS Cittadella (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 3 of 5 (60%)69%
AS Cittadella won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Novara FC lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 2 of 4 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 0
AS Cittadella or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
NOV 4 of 8 (50%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)64.9%
Novara FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
AS Cittadella to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 3 of 8 (38%)50.5%
AS Cittadella won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 8 of 8 (100%)96.1%
Novara FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 8 of 8 (100%)89.9%
Novara FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
NOV 6 of 8 (75%) · ASC 8 of 8 (100%)78%
Novara FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 3 of 6 · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.28
NOV 5 of 8 (62%) · ASC 6 of 8 (75%)63.7%
Novara FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
AS CITTADELLA GOALS
AS Cittadella Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)72.2%
AS Cittadella scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Novara FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.09
NOV 8 of 8 (100%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%
Novara FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 7 of 8 (88%)86.5%
Novara FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.40
NOV 7 of 8 (88%) · ASC 6 of 8 (75%)77.6%
Novara FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
NOV 6 of 8 (75%) · ASC 6 of 8 (75%)77.1%
Novara FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Cittadella: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Novara FC: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Novara FC's level
Left off the list: Novara FC Under 1.5 goals (Novara FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 10.3%
Novara FC goals →
AS Cittadella goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 8
NOVARA FCLDWLDDLW1.12 PPG
AS CITTADELLAWWWWWWWL2.62 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NOVARA FC HOMExAS CITTADELLA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.751.25CONCEDED A GAME0.5012%CLEAN SHEETS62%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.802.60CARDS A GAME1.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NOVARA FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.12POINTS A GAME2.57-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.14-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES7
AS Cittadella: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
AS CITTADELLA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NOVARA FC OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
AS CITTADELLA OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NOVARA FCxAS CITTADELLA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.46.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
NOVARA FC 2 · 29%DRAW 2AS CITTADELLA 3 · 43%
5 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-09-17Novara FC 1 – 3 AS Cittadella
2017-02-11Novara FC 1 – 1 AS Cittadella
2017-09-16Novara FC 1 – 0 AS Cittadella
2018-02-11Novara FC 3 – 1 AS Cittadella
2020-09-30Novara FC 1 – 3 AS Cittadella
2025-12-14Novara FC 2 – 2 AS Cittadella
2026-04-19Novara FC 0 – 1 AS Cittadella
TRENDS
Novara FC have scored in 50% of their games.
AS Cittadella have scored in 100% of their games.
Novara FC failed to score in 50% of their games.
AS Cittadella failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards