AC Lumezzane vs US Albinoleffe
Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane. The referee is F. Tassano.
What's at stake. AC Lumezzane are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Lecco, level on points with Pergolettese. A win would take them above Lecco. US Albinoleffe are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Treviso, 1 point clear of Alcione. A win would take them above Treviso.
Form. AC Lumezzane have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. US Albinoleffe have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.
The numbers. AC Lumezzane score one and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AC Lumezzane average 11.4 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. US Albinoleffe score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. US Albinoleffe average 11.1 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings AC Lumezzane have won four, drawn two and lost two. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AC Lumezzane won two, one was drawn and US Albinoleffe won one. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2026, it finished AC Lumezzane 1-1 US Albinoleffe.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: US Albinoleffe are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour AC Lumezzane. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. AC Lumezzane's record still gives them 36% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. US Albinoleffe or the draw. A tight game. US Albinoleffe are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour AC Lumezzane. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 74% on the records (AC Lumezzane: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; US Albinoleffe: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: US Albinoleffe or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Albinoleffe or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Albinoleffe or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Lumezzane 1-1 US Albinoleffe (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).