UPUSP

13:30Sat 10 Oct

ACC

US Pergolettese Crema vs AC Carpi

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Giuseppe Voltini, Crema. The referee is G. Rossini.

What's at stake. US Pergolettese Crema are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Lumezzane, 2 points clear of Athletic Carpi. A win would take them above Lumezzane. AC Carpi are 16th on 6 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Pergolettese, level on points with Folgore Caratese. A win would take them above Pergolettese.

Form. US Pergolettese Crema have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. AC Carpi have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.

The numbers. US Pergolettese Crema score 0.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and six games without a goal. US Pergolettese Crema average 8.5 shots (2.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AC Carpi score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Carpi average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Pergolettese Crema or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); US Pergolettese Crema or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Pergolettese Crema or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: US Pergolettese Crema 1-1 AC Carpi (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

US Pergolettese Crema or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.23

USP 5 of 5 (100%) · ACC 7 of 9 (78%)88.4%

US Pergolettese Crema scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level

Double Chance: US Pergolettese Crema or DrawIN CODES

1.29

USP 7 of 9 (78%) · ACC 7 of 8 (88%)71.5%

US Pergolettese Crema unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

USP 9 of 9 (100%) · ACC 7 of 8 (88%)95.2%

US Pergolettese Crema: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

USP 6 of 9 (67%) · ACC 6 of 8 (75%)70.8%

US Pergolettese Crema's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · US Pergolettese Crema: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at US Pergolettese Crema's level

Left off the list: US Pergolettese Crema or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); US Pergolettese Crema or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Pergolettese Crema or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw); US Pergolettese Crema or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Pergolettese Crema Over 0.5 goals (US Pergolettese Crema's own games don't back it (3 of 9))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

US Pergolettese Crema goals →

AC Carpi goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

US PERGOLETTESE CREMAWDLLDWDDDD1.20 PPG

AC CARPIWLDDWLDDLL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

US PERGOLETTESE CREMA HOMExAC CARPI AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME2.0060%CLEAN SHEETS10%75%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.20CORNERS A GAME3.802.00CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME0.75+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.88+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.47LEAGUE GAMES8

US Pergolettese Crema: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

US PERGOLETTESE CREMA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

US PERGOLETTESE CREMA OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

AC CARPI OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

US PERGOLETTESE CREMAxAC CARPI

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.000.40CONCEDED A GAME2.201.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.220%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.08.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

US Pergolettese Crema have scored in 40% of their games.

AC Carpi have scored in 80% of their games.

US Pergolettese Crema kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

AC Carpi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards