Match details. USL League One, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Cabaniss Athletic Complex.
Form. Corpus Christi FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Fort Wayne FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W.
The numbers. Corpus Christi FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Corpus Christi FC average 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Fort Wayne FC score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fort Wayne FC average 5.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Corpus Christi FC the likelier winners, but Fort Wayne FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Corpus Christi FC 2-1 Fort Wayne FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
FORT WAYNE FC GOALS
Fort Wayne FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
COR 8 of 10 (80%) · FOR 5 of 5 (100%)58%
Fort Wayne FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Corpus Christi FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Fort Wayne FC: only games against sides at Corpus Christi FC's level · Corpus Christi FC: only games against sides at Fort Wayne FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Corpus Christi FC goals →
Fort Wayne FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-011%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CORPUS CHRISTI FCLWWLLDLWWD1.40 PPG
FORT WAYNE FCDDDLWLWWLL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CORPUS CHRISTI FC HOMExFORT WAYNE FC AWAY
1.14SCORED A GAME1.501.43CONCEDED A GAME1.2930%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.36CORNERS A GAME5.752.96CARDS A GAME2.93
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.20-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.07-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.91.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
CORPUS CHRISTI FC OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
FORT WAYNE FC OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CORPUS CHRISTI FCxFORT WAYNE FC
7GAMES61.14SCORED A GAME1.671.43CONCEDED A GAME1.832.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.586%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%57%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Corpus Christi FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Fort Wayne FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Corpus Christi FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Fort Wayne FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards