Union Touarga vs Rs Berkane
Match details. Botola Pro D1. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Union Touarga have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Rs Berkane have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Union Touarga score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Union Touarga average 9.9 shots (3.9 on target), 1.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Rs Berkane score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Rs Berkane average 8.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No firm call: Union Touarga are the better side, but not at this price. Union Touarga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Union Touarga.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Rs Berkane or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Union Touarga). Predicted score: Union Touarga 1-1 Rs Berkane (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).