RMREA

11:00Wed 7 Oct

CDG

Real Madrid C vs CD Guadalajara

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 3. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Real Madrid C are 18th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Getafe II. A win would take them above Getafe II. CD Guadalajara are 14th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Albacete II, level on points with Atlético Tordesillas. A win would take them above Albacete II.

Form. Real Madrid C have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. CD Guadalajara have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.

The numbers. Real Madrid C score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Real Madrid C average 10.6 shots (3.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. CD Guadalajara score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. CD Guadalajara average 9.6 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Real Madrid C have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2025, it finished Real Madrid C 1-1 CD Guadalajara.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Madrid C or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Madrid C or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Real Madrid C or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Real Madrid C 1-1 CD Guadalajara (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CDG 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%

Real Madrid C: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Guadalajara: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CDG 7 of 10 (70%)89.9%

Real Madrid C: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Guadalajara: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CDG 9 of 10 (90%)95%

Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Guadalajara: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CDG 5 of 10 (50%)75%

Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Guadalajara: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at CD Guadalajara's level

Left off the list: Real Madrid C or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Madrid C or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Madrid C or Both Teams Score (no result call); Over 2.5 Cards (the numbers (77%) and the records (100%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Real Madrid C or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Double Chance: Real Madrid C or Draw (no result call); Real Madrid C or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Madrid C Over 0.5 Goals (Real Madrid C's own games don't back it (3 of 8))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Real Madrid C goals →

CD Guadalajara goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL MADRID CWWWLDLDDLL1.20 PPG

CD GUADALAJARALDDWLDLWLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL MADRID C HOMExCD GUADALAJARA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.600.90CONCEDED A GAME1.9050%CLEAN SHEETS10%100%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.86CORNERS A GAME4.891.86CARDS A GAME2.44

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

REAL MADRID C OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

CD GUADALAJARA OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

REAL MADRID C 0 · 0%DRAW 1CD GUADALAJARA 1 · 50%

2024-10-19Real Madrid C 0 – 2 CD Guadalajara

2025-03-01Real Madrid C 1 – 1 CD Guadalajara

TRENDS

Real Madrid C have scored in 50% of their games.

CD Guadalajara have scored in 90% of their games.

Real Madrid C kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

CD Guadalajara kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards