Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Brandywell Stadium, Delhi.
What's at stake. Derry City FC are 6th on 41 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Dundalk, level on points with Galway United. A win would take them above Dundalk. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC are 3rd on 59 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Bohemians, 13 points clear of Shelbourne. A win would take them level on points with Bohemians. Derry City FC have nothing left to play for, while Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC need the win.
Form. Derry City FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D.
The numbers. Derry City FC score two and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Derry City FC average 16.5 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC average 16.0 shots (6.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Derry City FC have won four, drawn four and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, four were drawn. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Derry City FC 1-1 Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC: Derry City FC had 11 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 72% on the records (Derry City FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Derry City FC 1-1 Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).