Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at American Express Stadium, Falmer. The referee is Robert Jones.
What's at stake. Brighton are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Arsenal, level on points with Chelsea. A win would take them above Arsenal. Crystal Palace are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Aston Villa, 1 point clear of Manchester United. A win would take them above Aston Villa.
Team news. Brighton are without F. Azeez (abdominal strain), E. Ferguson (ankle injury), Y. Minteh (injury), K. Mitoma (hamstring injury), S. Tzimas (knee injury), M. Wieffer (knee injury). Crystal Palace are without A. Disasi (red card), C. Riad (knee injury), B. Chilwell (injury), D. Henderson (foot injury), J. Mateta (hamstring injury), T. Tomiyasu (calf injury).
Form. Brighton have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Crystal Palace have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Brighton score 3.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Brighton average 18.3 shots (6.3 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Crystal Palace score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 9.5 shots (4.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Brighton have won two, drawn five and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and Crystal Palace won three. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace: Brighton had 7 shots to 7, 64% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Brighton the likelier winners, but Brighton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brighton; the meetings favour Crystal Palace. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Crystal Palace's record still gives them 30% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Brighton to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Brighton the likelier winners; Brighton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brighton; the meetings favour Crystal Palace. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 80% on the records (Brighton: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7; Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: Brighton or Both Teams Score at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Crystal Palace Under 1.5 goals (Crystal Palace's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Brighton 2-1 Crystal Palace (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Brighton or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.11
BRI 5 of 5 (100%) · CRY 6 of 7 (86%)97.6%
Brighton scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed or failed to win in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Both Teams ScoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
Brighton: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
Brighton: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.28
BRI 5 of 6 (83%) · CRY 3 of 5 (60%)87.9%
Brighton won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Crystal Palace lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 1 of 4 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1
Brighton or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)85.6%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton 1UPIN CODES
1.25
BRI 4 of 5 (80%) · CRY 5 of 7 (71%)82.9%
Brighton scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.36
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRY 3 of 6 (50%)79.6%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 2 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
1X2 - 2UP: BrightonLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
BRI 4 of 5 (80%) · CRY 5 of 7 (71%)77.3%
Brighton scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 3 of 6 (50%)73%
Brighton won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 1 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton to Win Either Half: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)69%
Brighton: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 3 of 6 (50%)64.8%
Brighton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 1 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton win and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
BRI 4 of 7 (57%) · CRY 2 of 6 (33%)54%
Brighton: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 1 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
BRI 4 of 7 (57%) · CRY 2 of 6 (33%)54%
Brighton: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 1 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.17
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)89.8%
Brighton: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
BRI 5 of 7 (71%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)73.8%
Brighton: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
BRIGHTON GOALS
Brighton Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.10
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)92.7%
Brighton scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Brighton Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRY 4 of 6 (67%)68.7%
Brighton scored over 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 1 of 6 · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)84.2%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
BRI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)80.1%
Brighton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BRI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRY 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Brighton's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Brighton: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Brighton's level
Left off the list: Crystal Palace Under 1.5 goals (Crystal Palace's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Brighton goals →
Crystal Palace goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BRIGHTONDWWLDWWWWW2.30 PPG
CRYSTAL PALACEWLLWWLWDWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BRIGHTON HOMExCRYSTAL PALACE AWAY
2.90SCORED A GAME1.900.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5070%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.60CORNERS A GAME3.102.10CARDS A GAME1.602.10xG1.451.56xG AGAINST2.07
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BRIGHTON TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.17POINTS A GAME1.17+2.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
Brighton: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
BRIGHTON 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
68%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 85/90
BRIGHTON OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BRIGHTONxCRYSTAL PALACE
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME2.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.211.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BRIGHTON 2 · 20%DRAW 5CRYSTAL PALACE 3 · 30%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-27Brighton 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
2022-01-14Brighton 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
2023-02-11Brighton 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
2023-03-15Brighton 1 – 0 Crystal Palace
2023-12-21Brighton 1 – 1 Crystal Palace
2024-02-03Brighton 4 – 1 Crystal Palace
2024-12-15Brighton 1 – 3 Crystal Palace
2025-04-05Brighton 1 – 2 Crystal Palace
TEAM NEWS
BRIGHTON
Out: F. Azeez (Abdominal strain), E. Ferguson (Ankle Injury), Y. Minteh (Injury), K. Mitoma (Hamstring Injury), S. Tzimas (Knee Injury), M. Wieffer (Knee Injury)
CRYSTAL PALACE
Out: A. Disasi (Red Card), C. Riad (Knee Injury), B. Chilwell (Injury), D. Henderson (Foot Injury), J. Mateta (Hamstring Injury), T. Tomiyasu (Calf Injury)
TRENDS
Brighton have scored in 90% of their games.
Crystal Palace have scored in 80% of their games.
Brighton kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards