TROTRO

19:45Sat 17 Oct

LEN

LEN

Troyes vs Lens

CLASS A

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DOUBLE CHANCE

Class A

TROv

LEN

Double Chance: Draw or Lens

Troyes v Lens

France - Ligue 1 · 19:45

1.27odds

79%book

+7edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. The referee is Hakim Ben el Hadj.

What's at stake. Troyes are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Auxerre, 2 points clear of Le Havre. A win would take them above Auxerre. Lens are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Nice, level on points with Strasbourg. A win would take them above Nice.

Team news. Troyes are without Y. Kone (injury), A. Ouzenadji (injury), Y. Titi (leg injury), I. Boura (hip injury), Y. Kone (injury), A. Ouzenadji (injury). Lens are without M. Nawrocki (knee injury), A. Sima (muscle injury), M. Udol (red card), J. Chavez (thigh injury), J. Gradit (injury), M. Nawrocki (knee injury).

Form. Troyes have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Lens have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.

The numbers. Troyes score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Troyes average 11.9 shots (4.3 on target), 7.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball. Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Lens average 12.8 shots (5.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Troyes have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Lens won three. The last time they met, on 4 Feb 2026, it finished Troyes 2-4 Lens: Troyes had 14 shots to 15, 41% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Troyes's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Lens to win. Their goals for and against make Lens the likelier winners; Lens are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lens; the meetings favour Lens.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Lens at 1.27, 81% on the records (Lens unbeaten in 3 of 6; Troyes failed to win 5 of 6). Backup: Lens win or both teams score at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Troyes Under 1.5 goals (Lens's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Lens are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Lens are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Troyes 0-1 Lens (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lens or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRO 5 of 6 (83%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)90.6%

Lens: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES

1.15

TRO 5 of 6 (83%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)90.6%

Lens or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

TRO 5 of 6 (83%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)87.5%

Lens: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Double Chance: Draw or LensMAININ CODES

1.27

TRO 3 of 6 (50%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)85.5%

Lens unbeaten in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes failed to win 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

TRO 3 of 6 (50%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)81.2%

Lens: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.41

TRO 2 of 5 (40%) · LEN 4 of 5 (80%)80.9%

Lens won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Troyes lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 5 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 4

Lens to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.43

TRO 4 of 6 (67%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)77.1%

Lens: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.19

TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · LEN 4 of 6 (67%)70%

Lens scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.86

TRO 2 of 6 (33%) · LEN 4 of 6 (67%)67.5%

Lens won 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Lens 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

TRO 2 of 5 (40%) · LEN 3 of 6 (50%)52.2%

Lens scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

TRO 5 of 6 (83%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%

Troyes: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lens: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level

LENS GOALS

Lens Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

TRO 5 of 6 (83%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)87.8%

Lens scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Troyes conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lens: only games against sides at Troyes's level · Troyes: only games against sides at Lens's level

Left off the list: Troyes Under 1.5 goals (Lens's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Lens are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Lens are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.6%

Troyes goals →

Lens goals ↓

0-07%

1-05%

2-03%

3-00.9%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51.0%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

TROYESLLLLWDLWWW1.30 PPG

LENSLWLDWLLWWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TROYES HOMExLENS AWAY

0.67SCORED A GAME1.832.17CONCEDED A GAME1.6740%CLEAN SHEETS10%67%FAILED TO SCORE17%7.33CORNERS A GAME7.001.50CARDS A GAME2.201.02xG2.121.64xG AGAINST1.78

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR LENS (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.67POINTS A GAME1.17-1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.86LEAGUE GAMES6

Lens: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

TROYES OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

LENS OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TROYESxLENS

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.202.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%2.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.69.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

TROYES 2 · 20%DRAW 1LENS 7 · 70%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-08-18Troyes 0 – 2 Lens

2019-01-28Troyes 1 – 0 Lens

2019-08-13Troyes 1 – 2 Lens

2019-08-24Troyes 2 – 0 Lens

2020-02-04Troyes 0 – 1 Lens

2021-11-05Troyes 0 – 4 Lens

2022-05-14Troyes 1 – 3 Lens

2022-09-09Troyes 0 – 1 Lens

TEAM NEWS

TROYES

Out: Y. Kone (Injury), A. Ouzenadji (Injury), Y. Titi (Leg Injury), I. Boura (Hip Injury), Y. Kone (Injury), A. Ouzenadji (Injury)

LENS

Out: M. Nawrocki (Knee Injury), A. Sima (Muscle Injury), M. Udol (Red Card), J. Chavez (Thigh Injury), J. Gradit (Injury), M. Nawrocki (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Troyes have scored in 50% of their games.

Lens have scored in 80% of their games.

Troyes kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Lens kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards