Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Lille have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Brest have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Lille score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Lille average 10.8 shots (5.3 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Brest score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Brest average 12.5 shots (4.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
The case against. Brest's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Lille to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lille the likelier winners; Lille are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lille. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Lille 1UP at 1.41, 77% on the records (Lille scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 5 of 7). Leave: Lille or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Lille Over 1.5 goals (Lille's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Lille are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Lille 2-1 Brest (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lille or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIL 7 of 7 (100%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Lille: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Lille or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.18
LIL 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%
Lille: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Lille or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.33
LIL 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)88.2%
Lille: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Lille or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.22
LIL 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 7 (71%)86.8%
Lille scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Lille (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.50
LIL 4 of 7 (57%) · BRE 5 of 7 (71%)82.7%
Lille won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Brest lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
Lille 1UPMAININ CODES
1.47
LIL 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 5 of 7 (71%)77.1%
Lille scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest trailed in 4 of 5 away · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Lille to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
LIL 4 of 7 (57%) · BRE 3 of 5 (60%)65.1%
Lille won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 54% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
1X2 - 2UP: LilleLEANPAGE ONLY
1.85
LIL 3 of 5 (60%) · BRE 4 of 7 (57%)59%
Lille scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.22
LIL 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)78.5%
Lille: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
LILLE GOALS
Lille Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
LIL 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)88.8%
Lille scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
BREST GOALS
Brest Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.47
LIL 3 of 5 (60%) · BRE 4 of 7 (57%)77.7%
Brest scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Lille conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · Brest: only games in Lille's division · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
LIL 6 of 7 (86%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%
Lille: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.21
LIL 5 of 7 (71%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)82.4%
Lille: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Brest: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · Lille: only games against sides at Brest's level · Brest: only games in Lille's division
Left off the list: Lille or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (61%) and the records (44%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Lille Over 1.5 goals (Lille's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Lille are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Lille are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Lille goals →
Brest goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LILLELWLWLWDWLW1.60 PPG
BRESTWLLWDDDLLL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LILLE HOMExBREST AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.000.67CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%CLEAN SHEETS0%3.00CORNERS A GAME5.331.89CARDS A GAME1.10
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.17POINTS A GAME1.33+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LILLE OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
BREST OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LILLExBREST
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Lille have scored in 90% of their games.
Brest have scored in 70% of their games.
Lille kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Brest kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards