Fulham vs Hull City
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Craven Cottage, London. The referee is Chris Kavanagh.
What's at stake. Fulham are 20th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Tottenham. A win would take them above Tottenham. Hull City are 8th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Leeds, level on points with Liverpool. A win would take them above Leeds.
Team news. Fulham are without T. Cairney (knee injury), H. Larsson (groin injury), T. Cairney (knee injury), H. Larsson (groin injury). Fulham's line-up is confirmed. Hull City are without I. Ansah (back injury), J. Butland (arm injury), M. Cho (muscle injury), L. Gourna-Douath (calf injury), D. Gyabi (groin injury), C. Hughes (groin injury). Hull City's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Fulham have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. Hull City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D.
The numbers. Fulham score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fulham average 14.4 shots (5.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Hull City score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Hull City average 10.4 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 33% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fulham have won six, drawn one and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Fulham won four. The last time they met, on 7 Jan 2023, it finished Fulham 2-0 Hull City: Fulham had 10 shots to 7, 59% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Fulham the likelier winners, but Hull City are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Fulham. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The case against. Hull City's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Fulham or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Fulham the likelier winners; Hull City are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Fulham. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.47, 70% on the records (Fulham: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Hull City: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Fulham Over 0.5 goals (Hull City's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fulham 2-0 Hull City (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).