Brentford vs Liverpool
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gtech Community Stadium, London. The referee is John Brooks.
What's at stake. Brentford are 4th on 10 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Brighton, level on points with Everton. A win would take them level on points with Brighton. Liverpool are 9th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Hull City, level on points with Ipswich. A win would take them above Hull City.
Team news. Brentford are without K. Furo (surgery), N. Collins (calf injury), M. Damsgaard (ankle injury), J. Dasilva (muscle injury), A. Milambo (knock), K. Schade (injury). K. Schade is their top scorer. Brentford's line-up is confirmed. Liverpool are without C. Bradley (knee injury), H. Ekitike (achilles tendon injury), R. Gravenberch (red card), G. Leoni (knee injury), C. Gakpo (ankle injury), A. Isak (thigh injury). C. Gakpo is their main creator. Liverpool's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Brentford have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. Liverpool have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Brentford score 2.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Brentford average 13.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Liverpool average 14.5 shots (5.3 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Brentford have won two, drawn two and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Brentford won one, one was drawn and Liverpool won two. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished Brentford 1-1 Liverpool: Brentford had 11 shots to 24, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Brentford are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Liverpool.
The case against. Liverpool's record still gives them 27% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Brentford or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Brentford are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Liverpool. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (Brentford: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8; Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Brentford or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Brentford or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Brentford 2-1 Liverpool (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).