Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia.
What's at stake. Union Brescia are 2nd on 16 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Cittadella, 1 point clear of Ospitaletto. Pro Vercelli 1892 are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Novara, level on points with Lecco. A win would take them above Novara.
Form. Union Brescia have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. Pro Vercelli 1892 have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.
The numbers. Union Brescia score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Union Brescia average 11.7 shots (4.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Pro Vercelli 1892 score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pro Vercelli 1892 average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Union Brescia have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Union Brescia 0-0 Pro Vercelli 1892.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 44%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No firm call: Union Brescia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Brescia the likelier winners; Union Brescia are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Pro Vercelli 1892 Under 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 84% on the records (Pro Vercelli 1892 scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8; Union Brescia conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8). Backup: Union Brescia Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Union Brescia are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Union Brescia are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union Brescia 2-0 Pro Vercelli 1892 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).