FCFCC

19:30Wed 7 Oct

REA

FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 5. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena.

What's at stake. FC Cartagena are 10th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Huesca, level on points with Atlético Madrid II. A win would take them above Huesca. Real Murcia CF are 4th on 12 points after 5 games, level on points with Alcorcon, 1 point clear of Real Jaén. A win would take them above Alcorcon.

Form. FC Cartagena have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. Real Murcia CF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.

The numbers. FC Cartagena score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Cartagena average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Real Murcia CF score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Real Murcia CF average 12.1 shots (5.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Cartagena have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished FC Cartagena 2-1 Real Murcia CF.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Cartagena the likelier winners, but Real Murcia CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Murcia CF. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Real Murcia CF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: FC Cartagena 1-1 Real Murcia CF (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 7 (100%)93.6%

FC Cartagena: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 3 · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 7 of 7 (100%)93.1%

FC Cartagena: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 7 of 7 (100%)84.2%

FC Cartagena: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 3 · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.89

FCC 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 3 of 7 (43%)57.1%

FC Cartagena: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 1 of 3 · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

FC CARTAGENA GOALS

FC Cartagena Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.37

FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 4 of 7 (57%)80.3%

FC Cartagena scored in 4 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 1 of 3 · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

REAL MURCIA CF GOALS

Real Murcia CF Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.37

FCC 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)70.3%

Real Murcia CF scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Cartagena conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 3 · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 7 (86%)82.5%

FC Cartagena's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Real Murcia CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · FC Cartagena: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at FC Cartagena's level

Left off the list: Real Murcia CF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Draw (1UP) (no result call); FC Cartagena Under 1.5 goals (FC Cartagena's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Real Murcia CF 1UP (no result call); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Real Murcia CF (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.2%

FC Cartagena goals →

Real Murcia CF goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FC CARTAGENAWDWLDWDDLW1.60 PPG

REAL MURCIA CFWWWWDLDWLW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC CARTAGENA HOMExREAL MURCIA CF AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.901.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.783.44CARDS A GAME2.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME2.40+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.45LEAGUE GAMES5

Real Murcia CF: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FC CARTAGENA OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

REAL MURCIA CF OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC CARTAGENAxREAL MURCIA CF

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.012.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

FC CARTAGENA 1 · 33%DRAW 0REAL MURCIA CF 2 · 67%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-12-08FC Cartagena 0 – 2 Real Murcia CF

2025-12-08FC Cartagena 0 – 1 Real Murcia CF

2026-02-22FC Cartagena 2 – 1 Real Murcia CF

TRENDS

FC Cartagena have scored in 80% of their games.

Real Murcia CF have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Cartagena kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Real Murcia CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards