Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Mosul SC are 14th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal, 1 point clear of Al Karkh. A win would take them above Ghaz Al Shamal. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 12th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Zakho, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal. A win would take them above Zakho.
Form. AL Mosul SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. AL Mosul SC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. AL Mosul SC average 8.2 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Al Quwa Al Jawiya average 7.3 shots (2.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 6 May 2026, it finished AL Mosul SC 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AL Mosul SC 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).