Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan.
Form. Shooting Stars have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Kano Pillars FC have won three, drawn four and lost two of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. Shooting Stars score 1.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Shooting Stars average 6.0 shots (1.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Kano Pillars FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kano Pillars FC average 6.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 14% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No firm call: Kano Pillars FC are the better side, but not at this price. Kano Pillars FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kano Pillars FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Shooting Stars 1-1 Kano Pillars FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).