Match details. Emperor Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Shimizu S-Pulse have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. V-Varen Nagasaki have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Shimizu S-Pulse average 8.6 shots (3.0 on target) and 1.5 cards a game. V-Varen Nagasaki score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. V-Varen Nagasaki average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target) and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Shimizu S-Pulse are not clearly stronger. V-Varen Nagasaki's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Shimizu S-Pulse or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shimizu S-Pulse the likelier winners; Shimizu S-Pulse are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shimizu S-Pulse. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. Best bet: Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw at 1.32, 75% on the records (Shimizu S-Pulse unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; V-Varen Nagasaki failed to win 6 of 7). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Shimizu S-Pulse or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Shimizu S-Pulse or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Shimizu S-Pulse or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.21
SHI 5 of 5 (100%) · VVA 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
Shimizu S-Pulse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · the call is Shimizu S-Pulse or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Shimizu S-Pulse a
Double Chance: Shimizu S-Pulse or DrawMAININ CODES
1.31
SHI 3 of 5 (60%) · VVA 6 of 7 (86%)77.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
Shimizu S-Pulse or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.30
SHI 3 of 5 (60%) · VVA 6 of 7 (86%)76.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · the call is Shimizu S-Pulse or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Shimizu S-Pulse a
Shimizu S-Pulse (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.55
SHI 3 of 7 (43%) · VVA 4 of 5 (80%)74%
Shimizu S-Pulse won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · V-Varen Nagasaki lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 3
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SHI 3 of 5 (60%) · VVA 3 of 5 (60%)68.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
Shimizu S-Pulse to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
2.15
SHI 2 of 5 (40%) · VVA 4 of 7 (57%)54.5%
Shimizu S-Pulse won 2 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · the call is Shimizu S-Pulse or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Shimizu S-Pulse are not clearly stronger (rule
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
SHI 5 of 5 (100%) · VVA 6 of 7 (86%)89.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.90
SHI 2 of 5 (40%) · VVA 4 of 7 (57%)51.3%
Shimizu S-Pulse: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
SHIMIZU S-PULSE GOALS
Shimizu S-Pulse Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
SHI 3 of 5 (60%) · VVA 6 of 7 (86%)81%
Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 3 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
V-VAREN NAGASAKI GOALS
V-Varen Nagasaki Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.36
SHI 4 of 7 (57%) · VVA 5 of 5 (100%)69.1%
V-Varen Nagasaki scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shimizu S-Pulse conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level
V-Varen Nagasaki Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
SHI 5 of 7 (71%) · VVA 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%
V-Varen Nagasaki scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shimizu S-Pulse conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.17
SHI 5 of 5 (100%) · VVA 7 of 7 (100%)100%
Shimizu S-Pulse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
SHI 5 of 5 (100%) · VVA 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Shimizu S-Pulse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · V-Varen Nagasaki: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Shimizu S-Pulse: only games against sides at V-Varen Nagasaki's level · V-Varen Nagasaki: only games against sides at Shimizu S-Pulse's level
Left off the list: Shimizu S-Pulse or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Shimizu S-Pulse or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.9%
Shimizu S-Pulse goals →
V-Varen Nagasaki goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SHIMIZU S-PULSEWWWLDLDLLW1.40 PPG
V-VAREN NAGASAKILDWWLDLWLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SHIMIZU S-PULSE HOMExV-VAREN NAGASAKI AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.50CARDS A GAME1.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.00-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SHIMIZU S-PULSE OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
V-VAREN NAGASAKI OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SHIMIZU S-PULSExV-VAREN NAGASAKI
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Shimizu S-Pulse have scored in 70% of their games.
V-Varen Nagasaki have scored in 70% of their games.
Shimizu S-Pulse kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
V-Varen Nagasaki kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards