EDGE PICKJEF United Chiba Over 0.5 goals · 64% · @1.59
Book 63% · Us 64%+1
Backed by
JEF United Chiba scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Emperor Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at City Light Stadium, Okayama.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Fagiano Okayama have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. JEF United Chiba have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. Fagiano Okayama score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Fagiano Okayama average 11.7 shots (3.0 on target) and 1.9 cards a game. JEF United Chiba score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. JEF United Chiba average 8.7 shots (3.3 on target) and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fagiano Okayama are not clearly stronger. JEF United Chiba's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Fagiano Okayama or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fagiano Okayama the likelier winners; Fagiano Okayama are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fagiano Okayama. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: Fagiano Okayama or Draw at 1.17, 74% on the records (Fagiano Okayama unbeaten in 5 of 8; JEF United Chiba failed to win 6 of 7). Full cover: JEF United Chiba Over 0.5 Goals at 1.59. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Fagiano Okayama or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); JEF United Chiba Under 1.5 goals (Fagiano Okayama's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 2-1 JEF United Chiba (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fagiano Okayama or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAG 7 of 8 (88%) · JEF 7 of 7 (100%)88.3%
Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · the call is Fagiano Okayama or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fag
Fagiano Okayama or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAG 4 of 5 (80%) · JEF 7 of 8 (88%)84.4%
Fagiano Okayama scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level
Fagiano Okayama or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
FAG 7 of 8 (88%) · JEF 6 of 7 (86%)82%
Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · the call is Fagiano Okayama or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fag
Double Chance: Fagiano Okayama or DrawMAININ CODES
1.17
FAG 5 of 8 (62%) · JEF 6 of 7 (86%)77.3%
Fagiano Okayama unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level
Fagiano Okayama or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.32
FAG 7 of 8 (88%) · JEF 5 of 7 (71%)75.8%
Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · the call is Fagiano Okayama or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fag
Fagiano Okayama 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FAG 4 of 5 (80%) · JEF 6 of 8 (75%)75.5%
Fagiano Okayama scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · the call is Fagiano Okayama or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fagian
Fagiano Okayama (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.26
FAG 4 of 7 (57%) · JEF 5 of 6 (83%)73.9%
Fagiano Okayama won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · JEF United Chiba lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 2
Fagiano Okayama to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.71
FAG 4 of 8 (50%) · JEF 5 of 7 (71%)59.4%
Fagiano Okayama won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · the call is Fagiano Okayama or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Fagiano Okayama are not clearly
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.95
FAG 6 of 8 (75%) · JEF 4 of 7 (57%)57.8%
Fagiano Okayama: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level
FAGIANO OKAYAMA GOALS
Fagiano Okayama Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
FAG 7 of 8 (88%) · JEF 6 of 7 (86%)82%
Fagiano Okayama scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level
JEF UNITED CHIBA GOALS
JEF United Chiba Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERLEANIN CODES
1.59
FAG 5 of 7 (71%) · JEF 6 of 8 (75%)64%
JEF United Chiba scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
FAG 6 of 8 (75%) · JEF 5 of 7 (71%)73.2%
Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · JEF United Chiba: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at JEF United Chiba's level · JEF United Chiba: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level
Left off the list: Fagiano Okayama or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); JEF United Chiba Under 1.5 goals (Fagiano Okayama's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Fagiano Okayama goals →
JEF United Chiba goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FAGIANO OKAYAMAWLWWWLWDWL1.90 PPG
JEF UNITED CHIBALLDWWLLDLL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FAGIANO OKAYAMA HOMExJEF UNITED CHIBA AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.89CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.71POINTS A GAME0.50+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.38-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.41.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES8
Fagiano Okayama: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
FAGIANO OKAYAMA OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
JEF UNITED CHIBA OR DRAW
27%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FAGIANO OKAYAMAxJEF UNITED CHIBA
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.811.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Fagiano Okayama have scored in 90% of their games.
JEF United Chiba have scored in 70% of their games.
Fagiano Okayama kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
JEF United Chiba kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards