Urawa Red Diamonds vs RB Omiya Ardija
Match details. Emperor Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time. It is played at Saitama Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Urawa Red Diamonds have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. RB Omiya Ardija have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D.
The numbers. Urawa Red Diamonds score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Urawa Red Diamonds average 12.4 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. RB Omiya Ardija score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. RB Omiya Ardija average 11.4 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. RB Omiya Ardija's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Urawa Red Diamonds or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 RB Omiya Ardija (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).