Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at PlatinumCars Arena, Norrköping.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. IFK Norrkoping FK have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Kalmar FF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. IFK Norrkoping FK score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. IFK Norrkoping FK average 14.2 shots (6.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kalmar FF average 11.7 shots (2.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings IFK Norrkoping FK have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, IFK Norrkoping FK won two, one was drawn and Kalmar FF won one. The last time they met, on 27 Jul 2024, it finished IFK Norrkoping FK 2-0 Kalmar FF: IFK Norrkoping FK had 11 shots to 11, 42% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. IFK Norrkoping FK to win. A tight game. IFK Norrkoping FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IFK Norrkoping FK. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: IFK Norrkoping FK 1-0 Kalmar FF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).