TOTTOT

20:00Mon 19 Oct

COV

Tottenham vs Coventry City

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. The referee is Andrew Madley.

What's at stake. Tottenham are 20th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Sunderland. A win would take them above Sunderland. Coventry City are 16th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Bournemouth, 1 point clear of Fulham. A win would take them above Bournemouth.

Team news. Tottenham are without R. Bentancur (red card), M. Mudryk (ankle injury), W. Odobert (knee injury), X. Simons (knee injury), D. Kulusevski (knee injury), P. Porro (muscle injury). Coventry City are without A. Amenda (calf injury), J. Eccles (injury), L. Woolfenden (knee injury), H. Wright (muscle injury), A. Amenda (calf injury), J. Eccles (injury).

Form. Tottenham have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Coventry City have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.

The numbers. Tottenham score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tottenham average 12.7 shots (4.5 on target), 7.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Coventry City score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Coventry City average 10.0 shots (4.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.

Head to head. Tottenham have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Sep 2024, it finished Tottenham 2-1 Coventry City: Tottenham had 9 shots to 15, 70% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Tottenham the likelier winners, but Coventry City are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The case against. Coventry City's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The read. Tottenham or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tottenham the likelier winners; Coventry City are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tottenham 2-1 Coventry City (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tottenham or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOT 6 of 8 (75%) · COV 5 of 6 (83%)74.6%

Tottenham: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Tottenham: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games against sides at Tottenham's level

Tottenham or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

TOT 4 of 8 (50%) · COV 5 of 6 (83%)58.4%

Tottenham: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Tottenham: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games against sides at Tottenham's level

GOALS

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

TOT 3 of 8 (38%) · COV 3 of 6 (50%)51.4%

Tottenham: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · Tottenham: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games against sides at Tottenham's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.20

TOT 5 of 8 (62%) · COV 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%

Tottenham: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Tottenham: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games against sides at Tottenham's level

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOT 7 of 8 (88%) · COV 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%

Tottenham's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coventry City's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Tottenham: only games against sides at Coventry City's level · Coventry City: only games against sides at Tottenham's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Tottenham goals →

Coventry City goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-00.9%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TOTTENHAMLWLWLDDLLD0.90 PPG

COVENTRY CITYWWLWLLLLWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TOTTENHAM HOMExCOVENTRY CITY AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.701.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%67%FAILED TO SCORE67%7.30CORNERS A GAME3.801.90CARDS A GAME1.501.10xG1.061.43xG AGAINST1.75

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

COVENTRY CITY 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME1.00-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

TOTTENHAM OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

COVENTRY CITY OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TOTTENHAMxCOVENTRY CITY

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.611.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

TOTTENHAM 2 · 100%DRAW 0COVENTRY CITY 0 · 0%

2013-01-05Tottenham 3 – 0 Coventry City

2024-09-18Tottenham 2 – 1 Coventry City

TEAM NEWS

TOTTENHAM

Out: R. Bentancur (Red Card), M. Mudryk (Ankle Injury), W. Odobert (Knee Injury), X. Simons (Knee Injury), D. Kulusevski (Knee Injury), P. Porro (Muscle Injury)

COVENTRY CITY

Out: A. Amenda (Calf Injury), J. Eccles (Injury), L. Woolfenden (Knee Injury), H. Wright (Muscle Injury), A. Amenda (Calf Injury), J. Eccles (Injury)

TRENDS

Tottenham have scored in 60% of their games.

Coventry City have scored in 60% of their games.

Tottenham kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Coventry City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards