Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at City Ground, Nottingham. The referee is Michael Oliver.
What's at stake. Nottingham Forest are 17th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Fulham, 1 point clear of Sunderland. A win would take them above Fulham. Arsenal are 2nd on 15 points after 6 games, 6 points behind Manchester City, 2 points clear of Brighton.
Team news. Nottingham Forest are without Igor Jesus (calf injury), N. Savona (knee injury), M. Gibbs-White (injury), N. Milenkovic (knee injury), Igor Jesus (calf injury), N. Savona (knee injury). Arsenal are without P. Hincapie (ankle injury), W. Saliba (back injury), C. Tzolis (hamstring injury), M. Zubimendi (ankle injury), P. Hincapie (ankle injury), W. Saliba (back injury).
Form. Nottingham Forest have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. Arsenal have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Nottingham Forest score 0.3 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Nottingham Forest average 13.4 shots (3.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Arsenal score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Arsenal average 13.0 shots (5.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nottingham Forest have won two, drawn two and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Arsenal won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal: Nottingham Forest had 6 shots to 15, 40% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Arsenal to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Arsenal the likelier winners; Arsenal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arsenal; the meetings favour Arsenal. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: Nottingham Forest Under 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 78% on the records (Nottingham Forest scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home; Arsenal conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).