SOUSOU

12:00Sun 11 Oct

POR

Southampton vs Portsmouth FC

CLASS E

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DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

SOUv

Double Chance: Southampton or Draw

Southampton v Portsmouth FC

England - Championship · 12:00

1.17odds

85%book

+7edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. Southampton have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. Portsmouth FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.

The numbers. Southampton score 3.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Southampton average 13.8 shots (5.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Portsmouth FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Portsmouth FC average 10.9 shots (3.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 63% against the records' 42%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The read. No firm call: Southampton are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Southampton the likelier winners; Southampton are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. Best bet: Southampton or Draw at 1.17, 85% on the records (Southampton unbeaten in 6 of 8; Portsmouth FC failed to win 6 of 9). Backup: Southampton Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Southampton are a clear winner, no Unders); Southampton Over 1.5 goals (Southampton's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Southampton are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Southampton 2-0 Portsmouth FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Southampton or DrawMAININ CODES

1.17

SOU 6 of 8 (75%) · POR 6 of 9 (67%)92.4%

Southampton unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

Southampton (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.25

SOU 4 of 6 (67%) · POR 3 of 6 (50%)90.3%

Southampton won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Portsmouth FC lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3

Southampton or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.12

SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · POR 6 of 8 (75%)87%

Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

Southampton or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

SOU 6 of 8 (75%) · POR 6 of 9 (67%)85.4%

Southampton: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

Southampton to WinPAGE ONLY

1.59

SOU 4 of 8 (50%) · POR 3 of 9 (33%)81.6%

Southampton won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC lost 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

Southampton 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · POR 6 of 8 (75%)66.5%

Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC trailed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

SOUTHAMPTON GOALS

Southampton Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.11

SOU 8 of 8 (100%) · POR 7 of 9 (78%)93.3%

Southampton scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division

PORTSMOUTH FC GOALS

Portsmouth FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.34

SOU 5 of 9 (56%) · POR 6 of 8 (75%)76.3%

Portsmouth FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Portsmouth FC: only games in Southampton's division · Southampton: only games in Portsmouth FC's division

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Southampton are a clear winner - no Unders); Southampton Over 1.5 goals (Southampton's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Southampton are a clear winner - no Unders); Southampton or draw and under 3.5 goals (Southampton are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Southampton are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 11.1%

Southampton goals →

Portsmouth FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-010%

2-011%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.6%

0-30.6%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SOUTHAMPTONLWWDDWLWLW1.70 PPG

PORTSMOUTH FCDDWLLWLLDW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SOUTHAMPTON HOMExPORTSMOUTH FC AWAY

2.38SCORED A GAME1.291.25CONCEDED A GAME1.4310%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.63CORNERS A GAME7.001.60CARDS A GAME1.10

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SOUTHAMPTON OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME1.14+1.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES7

Southampton: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SOUTHAMPTON OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

PORTSMOUTH FC OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SOUTHAMPTONxPORTSMOUTH FC

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.08.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Southampton have scored in 100% of their games.

Portsmouth FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Southampton kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Portsmouth FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards