Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Plaza Colonia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. CA Juventud de Las Piedras have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D.
The numbers. Plaza Colonia score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Plaza Colonia average 4.0 shots (1.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.8 cards a game. CA Juventud de Las Piedras score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Juventud de Las Piedras average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Plaza Colonia have won six, drawn three and lost one. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Plaza Colonia won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2025, it finished Plaza Colonia 2-0 CA Juventud de Las Piedras.
Where it pulls both ways. CA Juventud de Las Piedras are the form side, but the meetings favour Plaza Colonia: in the last ten meetings, Plaza Colonia won six, CA Juventud de Las Piedras won one and three were drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Plaza Colonia or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CA Juventud de Las Piedras or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Plaza Colonia 1-1 CA Juventud de Las Piedras (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).