HUDHUD

19:00Tue 6 Oct

ROC

Huddersfield vs Rochdale AFC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 8. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield.

Form. Huddersfield have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Rochdale AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.

The numbers. Huddersfield score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Huddersfield average 8.0 shots (4.3 on target) and 1.3 cards a game. Rochdale AFC score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Rochdale AFC average 4.6 shots (2.0 on target) and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Huddersfield are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Huddersfield the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Huddersfield. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Huddersfield 2-1 Rochdale AFC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HUD 9 of 10 (90%) · ROC 9 of 10 (90%)95.3%

Huddersfield: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HUD 9 of 10 (90%) · ROC 7 of 10 (70%)83.7%

Huddersfield: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

ROCHDALE AFC GOALS

Rochdale AFC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

HUD 7 of 10 (70%) · ROC 8 of 10 (80%)59.9%

Rochdale AFC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Huddersfield conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

HUD 7 of 10 (70%) · ROC 7 of 10 (70%)70%

Huddersfield: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

Huddersfield goals →

Rochdale AFC goals ↓

0-06%

1-011%

2-012%

3-08%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.6%

0-30.5%

1-31.0%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HUDDERSFIELDWLDWDWWDWD1.90 PPG

ROCHDALE AFCWWDWDLWLLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HUDDERSFIELD HOMExROCHDALE AFC AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.300.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS40%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.30CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.44+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES9

Huddersfield: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

HUDDERSFIELD OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

ROCHDALE AFC OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HUDDERSFIELDxROCHDALE AFC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES1.811.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Huddersfield have scored in 90% of their games.

Rochdale AFC have scored in 70% of their games.

Huddersfield kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Rochdale AFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards