Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos. The referee is Jose Bessa.
What's at stake. Leixoes SC are 8th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with União de Leiria, 1 point clear of Academica. A win would take them above União de Leiria. FC Porto B are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Chaves, 3 points clear of Feirense. A win would take them above Chaves.
Form. Leixoes SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. FC Porto B have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Leixoes SC score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Leixoes SC average 13.1 shots (5.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. FC Porto B score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Porto B average 6.8 shots (2.4 on target), 2.4 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Leixoes SC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Leixoes SC won three and FC Porto B won one. The last time they met, on 20 Apr 2026, it finished Leixoes SC 3-0 FC Porto B: five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The case against. FC Porto B's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Leixoes SC to win. Their goals for and against make Leixoes SC the likelier winners; Leixoes SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leixoes SC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Leixoes SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Leixoes SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Leixoes SC 1-0 FC Porto B (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).