TRTRA

15:00Sat 10 Oct

ROC

Tranmere Rovers FC vs Rochdale AFC

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

TRv

Under 3.5 Goals

Tranmere Rovers FC v Rochdale AFC

England - League Two · 15:00

1.33odds

75%book

+5edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Prenton Park, Wirral.

What's at stake. Tranmere Rovers FC are 12th on 11 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Rochdale, level on points with Swindon Town. A win would take them above Rochdale. Rochdale AFC are 11th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Gillingham, 2 points clear of Tranmere. A win would take them above Gillingham.

Form. Tranmere Rovers FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. Rochdale AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.

The numbers. Tranmere Rovers FC score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Tranmere Rovers FC average 9.4 shots (3.4 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Rochdale AFC score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Rochdale AFC average 5.0 shots (2.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Tranmere Rovers FC have won two, drawn three and lost two. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Tranmere Rovers FC won one, two were drawn and Rochdale AFC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2023, it finished Tranmere Rovers FC 2-2 Rochdale AFC: Tranmere Rovers FC had 10 shots to 14, 48% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The case against. Rochdale AFC's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Tranmere Rovers FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 73% on the records (Tranmere Rovers FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Rochdale AFC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tranmere Rovers FC Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tranmere Rovers FC 1-1 Rochdale AFC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tranmere Rovers FC or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

TRA 3 of 5 (60%) · ROC 7 of 9 (78%)62.6%

Tranmere Rovers FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

Tranmere Rovers FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

TRA 6 of 9 (67%) · ROC 6 of 8 (75%)59.9%

Tranmere Rovers FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

Tranmere Rovers FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

TRA 6 of 9 (67%) · ROC 2 of 8 (25%)56.8%

Tranmere Rovers FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 46% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

TRA 8 of 9 (89%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)93.7%

Tranmere Rovers FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.33

TRA 6 of 9 (67%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)80.2%

Tranmere Rovers FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.09

TRA 9 of 9 (100%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%

Tranmere Rovers FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.19

TRA 9 of 9 (100%) · ROC 7 of 8 (88%)91.1%

Tranmere Rovers FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

TRA 9 of 9 (100%) · ROC 6 of 8 (75%)82.3%

Tranmere Rovers FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 8 of 9 (89%) · ROC 5 of 8 (62%)75.7%

Tranmere Rovers FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rochdale AFC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Tranmere Rovers FC: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Tranmere Rovers FC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tranmere Rovers FC Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Tranmere Rovers FC goals →

Rochdale AFC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TRANMERE ROVERS FCLDWDLWDDDW1.40 PPG

ROCHDALE AFCLWWDWDLWLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TRANMERE ROVERS FC HOMExROCHDALE AFC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.111.33CONCEDED A GAME1.2240%CLEAN SHEETS40%22%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.33CORNERS A GAME4.562.56CARDS A GAME1.701.31xG0.871.81xG AGAINST2.15

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.44POINTS A GAME1.44+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11-0.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.71.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9

Rochdale AFC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

TRANMERE ROVERS FC OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ROCHDALE AFC OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRANMERE ROVERS FCxROCHDALE AFC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES1.810.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

TRANMERE ROVERS FC 2 · 29%DRAW 3ROCHDALE AFC 2 · 29%

3 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-01-17Tranmere Rovers FC 0 – 0 Rochdale AFC

2012-03-20Tranmere Rovers FC 2 – 0 Rochdale AFC

2019-08-03Tranmere Rovers FC 2 – 3 Rochdale AFC

2021-09-11Tranmere Rovers FC 0 – 1 Rochdale AFC

2022-01-15Tranmere Rovers FC 2 – 0 Rochdale AFC

2022-10-25Tranmere Rovers FC 1 – 1 Rochdale AFC

2023-04-18Tranmere Rovers FC 2 – 2 Rochdale AFC

TRENDS

Tranmere Rovers FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Rochdale AFC have scored in 70% of their games.

Tranmere Rovers FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Rochdale AFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards