Rotherham United vs Gillingham FC
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at New York Stadium, Rotherham.
What's at stake. Rotherham United are 17th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Accrington ST, level on points with Fleetwood Town. A win would take them above Accrington ST. Gillingham FC are 10th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Grimsby, level on points with Rochdale. A win would take them above Grimsby.
Form. Rotherham United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. Gillingham FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. Rotherham United score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Rotherham United average 7.3 shots (2.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Gillingham FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gillingham FC average 8.1 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Rotherham United have won six, drawn none and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Rotherham United won four. The last time they met, on 30 Apr 2022, it finished Rotherham United 2-0 Gillingham FC: Rotherham United had 17 shots to 7, 52% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Rotherham United the likelier winners, but Gillingham FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Rotherham United. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rotherham United 1-1 Gillingham FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).