Newport County vs Colchester United
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rodney Parade, Newport.
What's at stake. Newport County are 15th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Shrewsbury, level on points with Accrington ST. A win would take them above Shrewsbury. Colchester United are 19th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Fleetwood Town, 1 point clear of Exeter City. A win would take them above Fleetwood Town.
Form. Newport County have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Colchester United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D.
The numbers. Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newport County average 5.6 shots (2.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. Colchester United score 1.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Colchester United average 8.5 shots (3.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Newport County have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Colchester United won three. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Newport County 1-2 Colchester United: Newport County had 12 shots to 16, 47% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Newport County are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Colchester United. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The case against. Colchester United's record still gives them 40% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. Newport County or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Newport County are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Colchester United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 74% on the records (Newport County: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Colchester United: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newport County 1-1 Colchester United (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).