Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Broadfield Stadium, Crawley.
What's at stake. Crawley Town are 24th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Port Vale. A win would take them above Port Vale. Chesterfield FC are 8th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Walsall, 1 point clear of Grimsby. A win would take them above Walsall.
Form. Crawley Town have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Chesterfield FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Crawley Town average 6.8 shots (2.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Chesterfield FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Chesterfield FC average 8.4 shots (3.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Crawley Town have won one, drawn three and lost two. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Crawley Town won one, two were drawn and Chesterfield FC won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Crawley Town 1-1 Chesterfield FC: Crawley Town had 18 shots to 15, 50% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Chesterfield FC to win. A tight game. Chesterfield FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chesterfield FC.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Chesterfield FC at 1.19, 70% on the records (Chesterfield FC unbeaten in 6 of 8; Crawley Town failed to win 6 of 7). Backup: Chesterfield FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Chesterfield FC are a clear winner, no Unders); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Chesterfield FC (the signs point different ways); Crawley Town Under 1.5 goals (Chesterfield FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Crawley Town 0-1 Chesterfield FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).