Cheltenham Town vs Salford City
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Cheltenham Town are 4th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Crewe, level on points with Bristol Rovers. A win would take them above Crewe. Salford City are 1st on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point clear of Barnet.
Form. Cheltenham Town have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Salford City have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. Cheltenham Town score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Cheltenham Town average 6.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Salford City score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Salford City average 7.1 shots (2.5 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Cheltenham Town have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Cheltenham Town won two, one was drawn and Salford City won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Cheltenham Town 3-2 Salford City: Cheltenham Town had 13 shots to 6, 57% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Cheltenham Town's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. Salford City or the draw. A tight game. The meetings favour Cheltenham Town. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45, 78% on the records (Cheltenham Town: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9; Salford City: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Salford City or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Salford City 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Salford City (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).