Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC vs Stenhousemuir FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness. The referee is C. Steven.
What's at stake. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC are 8th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Arbroath, 6 points clear of Queen's Park. A win would take them above Arbroath. Stenhousemuir FC are 1st on 22 points after 8 games, 5 points clear of Raith Rovers.
Form. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Stenhousemuir FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC average 8.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Stenhousemuir FC score 1.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stenhousemuir FC average 6.8 shots (2.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC won one, two were drawn and Stenhousemuir FC won one. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 1-3 Stenhousemuir FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Stenhousemuir FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Stenhousemuir FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stenhousemuir FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 76% on the records (Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Stenhousemuir FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 1-1 Stenhousemuir FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).