Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger. The referee is O. Valen.
What's at stake. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball are 2nd on 53 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Haugesund, 2 points clear of Stromsgodset. A win would take them above Haugesund. Ranheim are 8th on 31 points after 24 games, 3 points behind hodd, 2 points clear of Egersund. A win would take them level on points with hodd.
Form. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball have gone W W D W D W. Ranheim have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Ranheim have gone W W D D L L.
The numbers. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball score 4.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball average 5.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Ranheim score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Ranheim average 5.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball have won five, drawn four and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, three were drawn and Ranheim won one. The last time they met, on 8 May 2026, it finished Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball 1-1 Ranheim.
The case against. Ranheim's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball the likelier winners; Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball or Draw at 1.19, 74% on the records (Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Ranheim failed to win 3 of 5 away). Full cover: Ranheim Over 0.5 Goals at 1.17. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball Over 1.5 goals (Ranheim's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball 2-1 Ranheim (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).