AUAYR

15:00Sat 10 Oct

DUN

Ayr United FC vs Dunfermline Athletic FC

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

AUv

Under 3.5 Goals

Ayr United FC v Dunfermline Athletic FC

Scotland - Championship · 15:00

1.30odds

77%book

0edge

4/4angles

THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Somerset Park, Ayr. The referee is D. McFarlane.

What's at stake. Ayr United FC are 6th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Dunfermline, level on points with Arbroath. A win would take them above Dunfermline. Dunfermline Athletic FC are 5th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Livingston, 1 point clear of Ayr Utd. A win would take them above Livingston.

Form. Ayr United FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.

The numbers. Ayr United FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ayr United FC average 6.5 shots (2.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Dunfermline Athletic FC score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dunfermline Athletic FC average 9.4 shots (3.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ayr United FC have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Ayr United FC won one, one was drawn and Dunfermline Athletic FC won two. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Ayr United FC 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Dunfermline Athletic FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Ayr United FC: in the last ten meetings, Ayr United FC won five, Dunfermline Athletic FC won two and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 74% on the records (Ayr United FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Dunfermline Athletic FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Dunfermline Athletic FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ayr United FC 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.10

AYR 9 of 9 (100%) · DUN 7 of 7 (100%)89.6%

Ayr United FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Dunfermline Athletic FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Dunfermline Athletic FC's level · Dunfermline Athletic FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.30

AYR 8 of 9 (89%) · DUN 7 of 7 (100%)77.3%

Ayr United FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Dunfermline Athletic FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Dunfermline Athletic FC's level · Dunfermline Athletic FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level

DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC GOALS

Dunfermline Athletic FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

AYR 5 of 7 (71%) · DUN 7 of 9 (78%)63.9%

Dunfermline Athletic FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Dunfermline Athletic FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Dunfermline Athletic FC's level

Left off the list: Dunfermline Athletic FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Ayr United FC goals →

Dunfermline Athletic… goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AYR UNITED FCWDLLDLLWLW1.10 PPG

DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FCWWDDLLWDWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AYR UNITED FC HOMExDUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME0.6020%CLEAN SHEETS60%33%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.30CORNERS A GAME5.221.90CARDS A GAME1.56

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

AYR UNITED FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.22POINTS A GAME1.71-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES7

Dunfermline Athletic FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AYR UNITED FC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AYR UNITED FCxDUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME0.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE20%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AYR UNITED FC 5 · 50%DRAW 3DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC 2 · 20%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-05-03Ayr United FC 3 – 3 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2024-08-31Ayr United FC 1 – 1 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2024-11-23Ayr United FC 1 – 0 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2025-01-14Ayr United FC 2 – 0 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2025-03-29Ayr United FC 3 – 0 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2025-09-23Ayr United FC 1 – 0 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2025-10-31Ayr United FC 0 – 1 Dunfermline Athletic FC

2025-12-20Ayr United FC 3 – 2 Dunfermline Athletic FC

TRENDS

Ayr United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Dunfermline Athletic FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Ayr United FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Dunfermline Athletic FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards