Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia. The referee is M. Piszczelok.
What's at stake. MKS Arka Gdynia are 12th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Ruch Chorzów, level on points with Podbeskidzie. A win would take them above Ruch Chorzów. Polonia Warszawa are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Miedz Legnica, level on points with Stal Rzeszów. A win would take them above Miedz Legnica.
Form. MKS Arka Gdynia have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Polonia Warszawa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. MKS Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. MKS Arka Gdynia average 11.9 shots (3.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Polonia Warszawa score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Polonia Warszawa average 14.2 shots (4.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings MKS Arka Gdynia have won two, drawn one and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2025, it finished MKS Arka Gdynia 0-0 Polonia Warszawa.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Polonia Warszawa or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Polonia Warszawa or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Polonia Warszawa or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: MKS Arka Gdynia 1-1 Polonia Warszawa (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).